Climate Change and Great Lakes Basin Water Management
Date:
Poster: American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting, Chicago, IL
Paulson, H., Gronewold, A., Luo, Y., Muir, M., and Huber, J. 2022. “Climate Change and Great Lakes Basin Water Management.” American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting. (Poster)
Abstract
The Great Lakes and St. Lawrence Governors and Premiers have committed to administering the Great Lakes and St. Lawrence River Basin Sustainable Water Resources Agreement and Compact (Agreement/Compact). This is conducted through the Great Lakes and St. Lawrence Water Resources Regional Body and the Great Lakes and St. Lawrence River Basin Water Resources Council. Through collaborations with scientists and water resource decision-makers, the Compact Council and Regional Body have written two 5-year Cumulative Impact Assessments. Most recently, the 2019 publication of their Science Strategy outlines expected challenges in carrying out the agreement and compact including the need for continued scientific data to support the next iteration of the Cumulative Impact Assessment to be published in 2022-2023. We propose the use of the Large Lake Statistical Water Balance Model (L2SWBM) as an additional tool to successfully recreate and balance the historical water budget, allowing the emergence of new trends and patterns that can be used to predict future water scenarios. The primary use of the model is to reduce uncertainty in water balance models, improve our understanding of climate change signals in the historical record, and anticipate plausible future water balance scenarios, to support water management and policy-making.
Citation
Paulson, H., Gronewold, A., Luo, Y., Muir, M., and Huber, J. (2022). Climate Change and Great Lakes Basin Water Management. AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts, 2022, H22W-1146.