Investigating Uncertainty Associated with the Great Lakes Water Balance Using the Large Lake Statistical Water Balance Model

The Laurentian Great Lakes represent the largest system of lakes on Earth and contain roughly 20% of the world’s fresh surface water. Our team leads research aimed at understanding short- and long-term changes in Great Lakes water level variability, including pathways through which climate change impacts the major components of the Great Lakes water balance. This research extends into other Great Lakes regional projects, including model and dataset development for water quantity and quality management.

  • Worked with the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers to improve the standard Bayesian model used to validate hydroclimate data over the Great Lakes
  • Integrated stage-fall-discharge equations and the latest water level data into the model, then compared and evaluated estimates of streamflow and other water balance components